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Understand what you’re trading.

Prediction market prices, sportsbook odds, trading costs, and rule-change research, together. Take a closer look before deciding.

The price you see isn’t the whole cost.

See how fees change the breakeven point for one market.

Fee pricing uses verified terms or says why it cannot.

One market, read on Sep 22, 2026

Buying at the 32.00¢ ask and paying the taker fee puts the conservative breakeven at 34.01¢. The outcome must be at least that likely.

Open the fee screen

Bid
31.00¢
Ask
32.00¢

Breakeven (long)34.01¢[33.01¢, 34.01¢]Ask plus taker fee, a conservative bound

Cost to cross vs midpoint2.49¢[1.49¢, 2.49¢]Half the spread plus fee, sell at the bid

Calculation & receipt
Bid / ask
0.3100 / 0.3200
Spread
1.00¢
Implied p (mid)
31.5%
Breakeven (long)
34.01¢ [33.01¢, 34.01¢]
Midpoint after assumed exit fee
29.50¢ [29.50¢, 30.50¢]
Cost to cross vs midpoint
2.49¢ [1.49¢, 2.49¢]
Crossing
sell at the bid

Quotes from a two-sided politics contract on Polymarket US. Schedule effective Sep 17, 2026, read from the venue’s published fee page. Dated reference, not current fee authority. The fee is rounded to the nearest cent per fill.

On a market page, each figure opens its receipt: the price source and clock, the fee schedule and its effective date, the fill assumption, and the rounding rule.

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APolymarket US

Will the Lakehaven rail link open in 2026?

BPolymarket US

Will the Lakehaven rail link be approved in 2026?

Priced outcomeYesYes
Closing time UTCDec 31, 2026 23:59Sep 30, 2026 23:59
Ask USD / contract32.00¢35.00¢
Captured UTCSep 27, 2026 12:00Sep 27, 2026 12:00

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