Understand what you’re trading.
Prediction market prices, sportsbook odds, trading costs, and rule-change research, together. Take a closer look before deciding.
The price you see isn’t the whole cost.
See how fees change the breakeven point for one market.
Fee pricing uses verified terms or says why it cannot.
One market, read on Sep 22, 2026
Buying at the 32.00¢ ask and paying the taker fee puts the conservative breakeven at 34.01¢. The outcome must be at least that likely.
- Bid
- 31.00¢
- Ask
- 32.00¢
Breakeven (long)34.01¢[33.01¢, 34.01¢]Ask plus taker fee, a conservative bound
Cost to cross vs midpoint2.49¢[1.49¢, 2.49¢]Half the spread plus fee, sell at the bid
Calculation & receipt
- Bid / ask
- 0.3100 / 0.3200
- Spread
- 1.00¢
- Implied p (mid)
- 31.5%
- Breakeven (long)
- 34.01¢ [33.01¢, 34.01¢]
- Midpoint after assumed exit fee
- 29.50¢ [29.50¢, 30.50¢]
- Cost to cross vs midpoint
- 2.49¢ [1.49¢, 2.49¢]
- Crossing
- sell at the bid
Quotes from a two-sided politics contract on Polymarket US. Schedule effective Sep 17, 2026, read from the venue’s published fee page. Dated reference, not current fee authority. The fee is rounded to the nearest cent per fill.
On a market page, each figure opens its receipt: the price source and clock, the fee schedule and its effective date, the fill assumption, and the rounding rule.
Similar topic.
Different questions.
Start with a question you’re following.
Find markets and compare their records.
Will the Lakehaven rail link open in 2026?
Will the Lakehaven rail link be approved in 2026?
Matching titles don’t make two contracts equivalent.
Save real markets from the Markets pageFollow the evidence.
See how a study counts rule changes.
Inspect the record behind each finding.
source changes.
4 classified changes
Research reports
- Fees & rulesFee schedules, rules drift, and venue-page watches.
- Market datesClosings, official releases, and reported open interest.Closing dates do not establish settlement or payment dates.
- StatisticsFigures with their capture dates and sources.
- A rules-edit reportA dated case study from August 13, 2026.
- Field NotesShort articles on fees, contract rules, and settlement timing.
Start with a market.
15 venues
Prices from 10, odds from 4, and daily reports from 3.
See each venue and its data
Prices Polymarket US Hyperliquid Myriad OG (Crypto.com) Limitless Predict.fun Novig Kalshi Opinion Pascal
Odds via The Odds API ProphetX BetOpenly Betfair Exchange (UK) Matchbook
Daily reports Novig ProphetX ForecastEx