Splitrule

The terms of use for this site, and the venue-data rules they pass through to you.

LEGAL · TERMS OF USE

Terms of Use

Last updated: 2026-08-24

These terms govern your use of splitrule.com and everything served from it (the "Site"), which is operated by Splitrule LLC, a Virginia limited liability company ("Splitrule", "we", "us"). By using the Site you agree to these terms. If you do not agree, do not use the Site.

1. What the Site is, and what it is not

Splitrule publishes analytics about prediction markets: fee arithmetic, resolution-rules change tracking, settlement calendars and cross-venue comparisons. Figures are published with their derivations where shown.

The Site is information, not advice. Nothing on it is investment, legal, tax or trading advice, a recommendation to enter or exit any position, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell anything. Splitrule is not a broker, dealer, exchange, futures commission merchant, investment adviser or commodity trading advisor, and is not registered with the CFTC, the SEC or any other regulator. Trading event contracts and prediction markets can lose you money. Decisions you make are yours.

2. Accuracy, and its limits

We work hard to be accurate and we show our derivations so you can check us. We do not warrant that anything on the Site is accurate, current or complete. Venue data changes, sources move, and published figures can be stale by the time you read them; figures carry the date of the data behind them where shown. The Site is provided "as is" and "as available", without warranties of any kind, express or implied, including merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement.

3. Venue data — the part that binds you

Some material on the Site may become subject to a licence between Splitrule and a trading venue. Where it is, that licence imposes obligations, and the restrictions below are how we pass them through to you. In respect of any data, figure, table, chart or other output on the Site that is derived from a venue's market data ("Venue-Derived Material"), you agree that you will not:

  1. extract, scrape, harvest or copy Venue-Derived Material in bulk, by automated means, or in any machine-readable, downloadable, feed or systematically extractable form;
  2. redistribute, republish, license, sublicense, sell, resell, transfer or otherwise commercially exploit Venue-Derived Material, or make it available to any third party as a data service;
  3. use Venue-Derived Material to create, maintain or support any product, service or dataset that substitutes for, or competes with, the underlying venue data or the venue that produced it;
  4. use Venue-Derived Material to train, develop, fine-tune or improve any machine learning model, artificial intelligence system, large language model or similar technology;
  5. reverse engineer, disassemble or decompile Venue-Derived Material, or attempt to reconstruct the underlying venue data from it;
  6. use Venue-Derived Material in the creation, calculation, issuance, settlement, pricing or maintenance of any financial product, index, benchmark, derivative or externally-facing analytics, valuation or risk-management service provided to third parties; or
  7. remove, obscure or alter any attribution, source note, timestamp or derivation shown with Venue-Derived Material.

All right, title and interest in the underlying venue data remains with the venue that produced it. Nothing on the Site transfers any right in it to you. Venue names and marks are the property of their owners; their appearance on the Site is attribution and does not imply endorsement, sponsorship or any relationship, except where the Site says so explicitly.

These restrictions survive your stopping use of the Site, and they apply to anyone you allow to use your access.

Where Splitrule itself publishes a dataset, series or file under a stated licence — and says so on the publication — that licence governs your use of it and this Section 3 does not restrict it. Nothing in this Section prevents you from using, citing, redistributing or building upon material Splitrule has deliberately released for that purpose. This Section restricts the extraction and redistribution of material published on the Site for reading, not material published as data under its own terms.

4. Reasonable use of the Site itself

Read the Site, quote it with attribution, and link to it freely. Do not attempt to gain unauthorised access to any system, interfere with the Site's operation, impose an unreasonable load on it, or use it in violation of any law. We may withdraw access from anyone who does.

5. Our own material

Text, layout, code and original charts on the Site are Splitrule's, except where attributed. You may quote and cite them with attribution and a link. You may not republish them wholesale as your own.

The Site links to venues, regulators and other third parties. We do not control them and are not responsible for them.

7. Limitation of liability

To the fullest extent permitted by law, Splitrule LLC and its members will not be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, consequential or exemplary damages, or for any lost profits, lost opportunity, or trading losses, arising out of or relating to your use of the Site — whether or not we were advised such damages were possible. To the fullest extent permitted by law, our total liability arising out of or relating to the Site will not exceed one hundred US dollars (US$100). Some jurisdictions do not allow some of these exclusions, and where that is so, they apply to the extent permitted.

8. Changes

We may change these terms. Material changes will be noted with a new "last updated" date, and continuing to use the Site after that means you accept them. Where a provision of Section 3 is required by a licence between Splitrule and a venue, we may be unable to relax it.

9. Governing law

These terms are governed by the laws of the Commonwealth of Virginia, without regard to its conflict-of-laws rules, and the state and federal courts sitting in Virginia have exclusive jurisdiction.

10. Contact

hello@splitrule.com