{ "schema": "splitrule.field-notes-data.v1", "title": "Sub-cent taker buys on Polymarket, July to September 2026", "version": "v1", "explorerLabel": "Filter the cells", "scopeNote": "All figures cover taker buys priced below 1 cent a contract on Polymarket's international exchange, July to September 2026. Each return is hypothetical: it values a purchase at its settlement payout, after the taker fee, as if the buyer held it to the end.", "cells": { "file": "subcent_cells_v1.csv", "defaultBreakdown": "fee_category", "dimensions": [ { "column": "month", "label": "Month", "help": "The UTC calendar month of the buy's block time.", "values": [ { "value": "2026-07", "label": "July 2026" }, { "value": "2026-08", "label": "August 2026" }, { "value": "2026-09", "label": "September 2026" } ] }, { "column": "price_slice", "label": "Price a contract", "help": "Each buy's exact price: collateral before the fee divided by contracts, with no rounding.", "values": [ { "value": "A1_lt0.2c", "label": "Below 0.2¢" }, { "value": "A2_0.2to0.5c", "label": "0.2¢ to below 0.5¢" }, { "value": "A3_0.5to1c", "label": "0.5¢ to below 1¢" } ] }, { "column": "fee_category", "label": "Fee category", "help": "The venue's fee group for the market in the snapshot of November 3 and 4, 2026. The venue assigns it for its fee schedule, so it can differ from the group at the time of a trade and from an editorial topic. An empty value shows as “No fee type”, and a market without a Gamma row shows as “Unknown (no Gamma row)”.", "values": [ { "value": "Sports", "label": "Sports" }, { "value": "Crypto", "label": "Crypto" }, { "value": "Politics", "label": "Politics" }, { "value": "Finance", "label": "Finance" }, { "value": "Economics", "label": "Economics" }, { "value": "Culture", "label": "Culture" }, { "value": "Tech", "label": "Tech" }, { "value": "Weather", "label": "Weather" }, { "value": "Mentions", "label": "Mentions" }, { "value": "General", "label": "General" }, { "value": "Fee-free", "label": "Fee-free" }, { "value": "No fee type", "label": "No fee type" }, { "value": "Unknown (no Gamma row)", "label": "Unknown (no Gamma row)" } ] }, { "column": "status_30d", "label": "Status 30 days after the buy", "help": "Each buy has its own horizon, its block time plus 30 days, and only buys settled by then enter returns. “Not settled within 30 days” doesn't mean “still open”. “Bought after settlement” means that the market had already settled when the buy happened, so these buys stay out of returns too.", "values": [ { "value": "settled", "label": "Settled within 30 days" }, { "value": "unresolved", "label": "Not settled within 30 days" }, { "value": "resolved_before_fill", "label": "Bought after settlement" } ] }, { "column": "status_scan_end", "label": "Status at the end of the settlement scan (November 3, 2026)", "help": "The same rules as the 30-day status, with the horizon moved to the end of the settlement scan on November 3, 2026, at 00:00 UTC. A buy that wasn't settled within 30 days can show as settled here.", "values": [ { "value": "settled", "label": "Settled by November 3" }, { "value": "unresolved", "label": "Not settled by November 3" }, { "value": "resolved_before_fill", "label": "Bought after settlement" } ] }, { "column": "settled_50_50", "label": "Settled 50-50", "help": "The market's on-chain payout split evenly between its two outcomes, so each contract paid half a dollar on either side. A 50-50 payout isn't a long shot that won.", "values": [ { "value": "false", "label": "No" }, { "value": "true", "label": "Yes" } ] }, { "column": "disputed_proposal_recorded", "label": "Dispute of the proposed result recorded", "help": "The venue's record of the market's proposed result, in the snapshot of November 3 and 4, 2026, lists “disputed” at least once. A dispute shows that someone challenged a proposed result. It doesn't show that the final result was wrong, who disputed it, or what any buyer knew.", "values": [ { "value": "false", "label": "No" }, { "value": "true", "label": "Yes" } ] } ], "measures": { "allocations": { "column": "allocations", "scale": 1, "label": "Allocations", "help": "One taker buy order matched against one maker order inside one match, so a single order can make several allocations at different prices." }, "contracts": { "column": "contracts_micro", "scale": 1e-06, "label": "Contracts" }, "collateral": { "column": "paid_before_fee_micro", "scale": 1e-06, "label": "Collateral before the fee" }, "fee": { "column": "fee_micro", "scale": 1e-06, "label": "Taker fee", "help": "The chain records one fee for each match, and the study divides it across the match's allocations in proportion to their collateral. Rebates are off-chain, so all fees are gross." }, "payout": { "column": "payout_micro", "scale": 1e-06, "label": "Payout at settlement", "help": "Contracts times the payout fraction of the bought outcome. It's filled in whenever the market settled by November 3, whatever the 30-day status, while returns use only buys settled within 30 days." } }, "paidNote": "Paid is collateral plus the taker fee.", "eventsInCell": "events_in_cell_do_not_sum", "settledFilter": { "column": "status_30d", "value": "settled", "note": "Returns use only buys settled within 30 days, so the return per dollar shows when “Settled within 30 days” is the only 30-day status selected." } }, "eventCounts": { "file": "subcent_event_counts_v1.csv", "keys": [ { "column": "period", "dimension": "month", "all": "quarter" }, { "column": "price_slice", "dimension": "price_slice", "all": "all" }, { "column": "status_30d", "dimension": "status_30d", "all": "all" } ], "value": "distinct_events", "note": "An event is one group of related markets on the venue, and its buys can fall in several cells, so event counts don't add across cells. The page shows an exact count for one cell, or for one month or the quarter, one price slice or all, and all statuses or settled only, with every other filter set to all." } }